Monday, February 29, 2016

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 28) With Magic Numbers and Relegation Stuff

This past round I picked four games out of eight correctly with no correct scores for 40 points.  Lawrenson picked five out of eight correctly with no correct scores for 50 points.   Merson picked five out of eight correctly with no corrects score for a total of 50 points.

My current total for the season is 119 out of 268 with for 1760 points.  Lawrenson has picked 124 out of 268 for 1990 points. Merson has picked 121 out of 264 for a total of 1730 points
Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions can be found here and here. 
PREDICTIONS

My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Aston Villa-Everton         1-2
Cherries-Southampton  1-2
Leicester-West Brom     2-1
Norwich-Chelsea             1-1
Sunderland-Palace          1-1
Arsenal-Swansea             1-0
Stoke-Newcastle             2-1
West Ham-Tottenham   1-1
Liverpool-Man City          1-1
Man U-Watford                2-1
RELEGATION AVOIDANCE
Leicester is now safe since it take just 56 points to mathematically avoid relegation. Tottenham will reach safety with a win and could reach safety with a loss or draw.  Arsenal could reach safety with a win. The safe number will drop further in this round unless Newcastle, Norwich, Swansea, and Bournemouth all win.  Well actually if Swansea or Bournemouth draw (but not both) the number will remain unchanged as well.  If all four of them lose the number will drop to 53.
MAGIC NUMBERS
These are Southampton’s current magic numbers as explained here:
Leicester City                     50
Tottenham                         48
Arsenal                                45
Manchester City               44
Manchester United           38
West Ham                           37
Liverpool                             35
Watford                               31
Stoke City                            33
Everton                               32
Chelsea                               30
Crystal Palace                    26
West Brom                         29
Bournemouth                    23
Swansea City                     21
Norwich City                      18
Newcastle                           21
Sunderland                         17
Aston Villa                           10

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