Friday, January 22, 2016

October 2015 Reading List

Obviously, this post is long delayed.  It should have been posted the first week of November.  I have been very busy with work and Fallout 4 over the past couple of months but that, alone, does not explain the long delay.  I somehow turned posting my reading list into an obligation to find something sensible and intelligent to say about every book I read or started to read.  While I am sure there is something sensible and intelligent to say about virtually every book, I discovered that I do not always want to be the one to say it.

Henceforth, I will try to publish my reading lists on time and say something intelligent only when I have something intelligent to say. 
On the other hand, my guilt over the delay in posting this list is significantly mitigated by the fact that I do not seriously believe that anyone is waiting to read it with baited breath.
Once again, the list is in chronological order.  (I have no explanation for the weird changes in fonts in this post but I am unable to figure out how to fix them.  I have managed to make them weird in a slightly different way from how they first appeared.)
Books Finished
A Call to Arms (Manticore Ascendant series Book 2) by David Weber; Timothy Zahn; Thomas Pope
I read all off Weber’s Honor Harrington books when they first come out.  He has started—in conjunction with a couple of co-authors—yet another related series this one taking place several hundred years before the events of the main series of books.  At this time, the Manticore Star System is an independent slightly primitive colony in an isolated location.  It faces external threats from space pirates and internal threats from politicians who do not adequately assess the danger of the external threats.  This is, unfortunately, a very Republican party (at least in American terms) view of the world.  The difference is the threats Manticore faces are real threats that actually threaten the survival of the Manticore colony and its current government.
This series of books will, presumably, trace how Manticore fought off the invaders who wanted to seize control of their system.  Since we know, from the primary series of books, that Manticore successfully fought off these threats and became a very wealthy Star Nation there is some reduction in the suspense because we know everything is going to turn out alright at least for now.
I cannot exactly explain why I enjoy reading military science fiction but I do.  Certainly, Weber’s future history is more interesting and plausible than most and for whatever reason I enjoy his writing.  That being said, this is not the place to start reading David Weber’s books.  The place to start is the first Honor Harrington book, “On Basilisk Station”.
Pacific Crucible: War at Sea in the Pacific, 1941-1942 by Ian W. Toll
The Conquering Tide: War in the Pacific Islands 1942-1944 by Ian W. Toll
For no particular reason that I can explain, I decided I wanted to read this new series coving the history of World War II and the Pacific.  The focus is on the navy and the naval battles rather than on the army and the land battles.  Anyone who is a fan of Douglas McArthur will feel short changed.
On the other hand, I had not read any World War II specific history since I was a teenager so there was much that was “new” for me.  The author’s style is quite readable and when the third and final book of the series comes out next year, I am confident this will be one of the better complete histories of the war in the Pacific.
I am in no position to judge whether there are historical controversies in which he is taken a side that is, perhaps, not well supported.  For example, his summary of the events relating to the code breaking process that led to the significant United States advantage at Midway emphasizes the critical importance of the code breaking operation in Hawaii and makes the code breakers in Washington D.C. look incompetent as code breakers but highly competent as political creatures who were able to take credit for the Hawaiian group’s success.  I really do not know if that is what happened but Toll certainly makes a good case for it. 
I am looking forward to the final book so I can see how the war ends.
Ancillary Sword by Ann Leckie
Ancillary Mercy by Ann Leckie
Much to my surprise, the Ancillary series may be the best science fiction trilogy I have ever read even including the foundation trilogy by my all-time favorite author, Isaac Asimov.
As you can see I finished the second and third book in the trilogy this month having elected to reread Ancillary Sword so as to be fully up to date on events for my reading of Ancillary Mercy.  (I did not feel the need to go back and read Ancillary Justice although I did reread it right before I originally read Ancillary Sword.) 
Leckie does a tremendous job of creating an alien feeling future universe where humans are both basically the same and very different.  One of her techniques is to create a subculture of the human civilization in which the generic pronoun is female and make the narrator a member of this subculture.  As a result, throughout most of the book, it is not entirely clear what sex any particular character is—although, I suspect, that if you were intensely interested in this subject the clues would be there.  The importance of this is not that the series becomes focused on gender issues but in the way it makes them completely irrelevant to what is going on.  Nevertheless, I found that I still assigned genders to most of the characters although I have no clue as to whether I got any of them right.  (A friend of mine started reading the first book in the series and, in his mind, assigned the opposite gender to the main character.  On the other hand, he did not like the book (my friend—not the main character) so what does he know.)
The books take place in a future human universe where the technology is available to take prisoners of war and political prisoners and replace their thought patterns with those of the space ship for which they serve as Ancillaries.  The main character is the only surviving Ancillary of a ship that was destroyed by the Emperor of the Human civilization for reasons that are revealed in Ancillary Justice.  As a result, this Ancillary, the narrator, contains all that is left of the ship’s personality and memories and has something of an axe to grind. 
My discussion is not doing the series justice.  I cannot recommend these books highly enough.  If you have any interest in current science fiction, you should read these books.
Life in Motion:  An Unlikely Ballerina by Misty Copeland
Misty Copeland is the first African American woman to become a principle dancer at the American Ballet Theater.  This is her autobiography.
My greatest dissatisfaction with the book is an inevitable one.  She is only 33 years old so we do not really know how her life turns out.  Given that I am 24 years older than her, I will probably never find out how her life turns out in the strictest sense of the word. 
On the other hand, she has led an interesting life including becoming famous as a child both because of legal struggles between her mother and her ballet teacher and because she was such a great ballet prospect despite starting dancing at a relatively old age.
Her journey is certainly an inspirational one which should offer hope that the apparent racism inherent in ballet can be overcome—although that is not the primary focus of the autobiography.  On the other hand, I did not respond to this book by running out and going to the ballet.  In fact, I am no more likely to attend the ballet now than I was before reading the book although I am more likely to watch Misty Copeland if she appears on a television show.
Rogue Lawyer by John Grisham
This is another of John Grisham’s many novels in which an ordinary lawyer struggles against the oppressive legal system and triumphs—at least in part.  Since I too am an ordinary lawyer struggling against the oppressions of the legal system, his books serve as a kind of wish fulfillment for me.  Fortunately, my cases do not put me in any significant physical jeopardy (at least so far) and I have not found a need to take the numerous ethical shortcuts that seems to be second nature to Grisham’s characters.  I continue to buy and read Grisham’s books whenever they come out so I am not complaining.  His books are not set in California so I have no idea how accurate the procedural technicalities are in his books and whether what happens is actually plausible or simply narrative expedient.  This book is different from Grisham’s other works in that it has multiple cases and plots instead of focusing primarily on one major case.  I am not convinced the disjointed nature of the book was worth the experiment by Grisham.  I certainly do not recommend that you start reading Grisham here.
Just Mercy:  A Story of Justice and Redemption by Bryan Stevenson
This book provides an interesting juxtaposition with Rogue Lawyer.  Stevenson is in many ways a real life version of a John Grisham character.  He has spent his entire career representing the victims of the American Justice System—persons who have been sentenced to death even when they are innocent and people who did not receive a fair trial because of the inherent corruption found in most prosecuting attorney offices and police departments. 
In a sense, Stevenson does the same kind of work I do but for higher stakes and, I assume, less money. 
My primary reaction to reading this book is a combination of admiration and frustration.  I do not think I would have had the patience and work ethic to go through everything Stevenson has gone through.  On the other hand, I am continually surprised (even though I should not be) by the inherent injustice in the American justice system and reading Stevenson’s story just added to my frustration.
I highly recommend this book for anyone who suffers from the delusion that the American criminal justice system works pretty well but I suspect relatively few people with that delusion will be reading my blog or care to have their misinterpretation of reality corrected.

Books Started
Ancillary Mercy by Ann Leckie
The Dread Hammer (Stories of the Puzzle Lands—Book 1) by Linda Nagata
Ancillary Sword by Ann Leckie
The Conquering Tide: War in the Pacific Islands 1942-1944 by Ian W. Toll
Life in Motion:  An Unlikely Ballerina by Misty Copeland
Fortunate Son:  My Life, My Music by John Fogerty
For no particular reason other than his appearance on a talk show, I decided I was curious about John Fogerty’s life.  However I got distracted and have not progressed very far into the book.  I certainly anticipate finishing it because he claims to have been betrayed by his band and his musical publisher and I am curious as to what happened. 
Career of Evil by Robert Galbraith (J. K. Rowling)
The biggest surprise about this book is that it did not immediately catch my interest and I did not finish it in a day or two.  That was my reaction to the Harry Potter books and to the earlier books in this series by J. K. Rowling.  I certainly anticipate that I will finish the book.
America’s Bank:  The Epic Struggle to Create the Federal Reserve by Roger Lowenstein
I have read Roger Lowenstein’s non-fiction books about the financial system in the past and thought it would be interesting to read a historical book about the creation of the American Federal Reserve.  I was surprised that the book seemed much less interesting than his earlier books I have not completely given up on finishing it but it did not enthrall me.
Rogue Lawyer by John Grisham
Illuminae by Amie Kaufman and Jay Kristoff
This science fiction novel is told in the form of a hodgepodge of documents which, presumably, come together to tell a whole story.  The idea appealed to me more in concept than, so far, in execution but it is not fair to criticize the book yet because I have not read enough of it.
Keep Moving: And Other Tips and Truths About Aging by Dick Van Dyke
I bought this book because I enjoyed Dick Van Dyke’s previous book—a memoir of his life.  I am not enjoying this book nearly as much.
An Appetite for Wonder:  The Making of a Scientist by Richard Dawkins
The Football manager’s Guide to Football Management by Ian Macintosh
War Dogs by Greg Bear

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 23)

This past round I picked five games out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 50 points.  Lawrenson picked four out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 40 points.  His human celebrity guest picked four correctly with no correct scores for 40 points. Merson picked six out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 60 points.

My current total for the season is 98 out of 220 with for 1400 points.  Lawrenson has picked 104 out of 220 for 1700 points. Merson has picked 98 out of 216 for a total of 1400 points.  (I have been overstaing Merson’s score by 10 points for several weeks now.)  SAM is apparently done.
Lawrenson and Merson’s new picks can be found here and here.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Norwich-Liverpool           1-2
Palace-Tottenham           1-1
Leicester-Stoke                2-1
Man U-Southampton     2-1
Sunderland-Cherries      1-1
Watford-Newcastle        2-1
West Brom-Aston Villa  2-1
West Ham-Man City       1-1
Everton-Swansea            2-1
Arsenal-Chelsea              2-1

Friday, January 15, 2016

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 22)

This past round I picked three games out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 30 points.  Lawrenson picked four out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 40 points.  His human celebrity guest picked one correctly with no correct scores for 10 points. SAM picked three correctly with no correct scores for 30 points. Merson picked two out of seven correctly with no correct scores for a total of 30 points.  (He did not bother picking the Tuesday games.)

It looks like I was wrong and the BBC is not going to publish SAM’s picks every week.  Maybe they don’t want to make us humans look bad.
My current total for the season is 93 out of 210 with for 1350 points.  Lawrenson has picked 100 out of 210 for 1660 points. Merson has picked 92 out of 206 for a total of 1350 points.  SAM has picked 13 out of 30 for 250 points.  I will stop listing SAM next week if it doesn’t make a return.
Lawrenson and Merson’s new picks can be found here and here.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Tottenham-Sunderland                  2-1
Cherries-Norwich                            1-1
Chelsea-Everton                              1-1
Man City-Palace                              2-1
Newcastle-West Ham                    1-2
Southampton-West Brom             2-1
Aston Villa-Leicester                       0-1
Liverpool-Man U                             1-1
Stoke-Arsenal                                  1-1
Swansea-Watford                           1-2

Monday, January 11, 2016

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 21)

Apparently, Lawrenson is going to be posting the “Sports Analytics Machine’s” picks each round.  Obviously, I have no idea how the SAM makes it decisions, but I do note that it likes to pick scores of 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, and 2-0 so in that narrow sense it does what I do which is pick the mostly likely results by score—except that it has a way to pick 2-0 and my system does not.  The whole point of my doing these predictions was to compare a simplistic mechanical system with picks by “experts” because I thought such a system would be just as good.  Last year it was somewhat better.  This year it is significantly worse than Lawrenson but comparable to Merson.  However, I have no reason to think that my system would be competitive with a properly designed computerized prediction system.  In fact, I expect SAM to continue racking up better predictions records than any of the humans on a fairly consistent basis.

This past round I picked three games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 60 points.  Lawrenson picked six out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 60 points.  His human celebrity guest picked three correctly with no correct scores for 30 points. SAM picked five correctly with two correct scores for 110 points. Merson picked three out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 30 points. 
My current total for the season is 90 out of 200 with for 1320 points.  Lawrenson has picked 96 out of 200 for 1620 points. Merson has picked 90 out of 199 for a total of 1330 points.  SAM has picked 10 out of 20 for 220 points.
Lawrenson and Merson’s new picks can be found here and here, if I find them on time.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Aston Villa-Palace            0-1
Cherries-West Ham         1-2
Newcastle-Man U            0-1
Chelsea-West Brom         1-1
Man City-Everton             2-1
Southampton-Watford   1-1
Stoke-Norwich                  2-1
Swansea-Sunderland      2-1
Liverpool-Arsenal            0-1
Tottenham-Leicester     1-1

Friday, January 1, 2016

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 20)

This past round I picked six games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 90 points.  Lawrenson picked seven out of ten correctly with three correct scores for 160 points.  His human celebrity guest picked four correctly with one correct scores for 70 points. His computerized guest picked five correctly with two correct scores for 110 points. Merson picked five out of ten correctly with two correct scores for a total of 110 points.

My current total for the season is 87 out of 190 with for 1260 points.  Lawrenson has picked 90 out of 190 for 1560 points. Merson has picked 87 out of 189 for a total of 1300 points.
Lawrenson and Merson’s new picks can be found here and here.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
West Ham-Liverpool        1-1
Arsenal-Newcastle           1-0
Leicester-Cherries            2-1
Man U-Swansea               1-0
Norwich-Southampton   1-1
Sunderland-Aston Villa   2-1
West Brom-Stoke            1-1
Watford-Man City           1-1
Palace-Chelsea                 2-1
Everton-Tottenham         1-2