Saturday, December 26, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 19)

This past round I picked three games out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 30 points.  Lawrenson picked five out of ten correctly with one correct score for 80 points.  His celebrity guest picked five correctly with two correct scores for 110 points.  Merson picked five out of ten correctly with one correct score for a total of 80 points. 

My current total for the season is 81 out of 180 with for 1170 points.  Lawrenson has picked 83 out of 180 for 1400 points. Merson has picked 82 out of 170 for a total of 1190 points.  So much for my system making progress.  However, I don’t care that I got the Arsenal game wrong.
Lawrenson and Merson’s new picks can be found here and here, if I find them on time. 
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games.
Palace-Swansea                               1-0
Everton-Stoke                                  2-1
Norwich-Aston Villa                       2-1
Watford-Tottenham                      1-1
West Brom-Newcastle                  2-1
Arsenal-Bournemouth                  2-1
Man U-Chelsea                              2-1
West Ham-Southampton             2-1
Leicester-Man City                        2-1
Sunderland-Liverpool                   1-2

Friday, December 25, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 18)

This past round I picked four games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 70 points.  Lawrenson picked two out of ten correctly with one correct score for 50 points.  His celebrity guest picked four correctly with one correct score for 70 points.  Merson picked three out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 30 points.

My current total for the season is 78 out of 170 with for 1140 points.  Lawrenson has picked 78 out of 170 for 1320 points. Merson has picked 77 out of 169 for a total of 1110 points.  So my system has finally passed Merson despite his very good start.  It has also been picking up ground on Merson, but very slowly.
Lawrenson and Merson  new picks can be found here and here.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Stoke-Man U                     1-1
Aston Villa-West Ham    1-2
Cherrries-Palace               1-2
Chelsea-Watford             1-2
Liverpool-Leicester         1-2
Man City-Sunderland     2-1
Swansea-West Brom      1-1
Tottenham-Norwich       1-0
Newcastle-Everton         1-2
Southampton-Arsenal   1-2

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 17)

This past round I picked five games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 80 points.  Lawrenson picked four out of ten correctly with one correct score for 70 points.  His celebrity guest picked four correctly with one correct score for 70 points.  Merson picked two out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 20 points. 

My current total for the season is 74 out of 160 with for 1070 points.  Lawrenson has picked 76 out of 160 for 1270 points. Merson has picked 74 out of 159 for a total of 1070 points.
When Lawrenson and Merson make their new picks I might link them here and here.  I keep forgetting to do this.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Chelsea-Sunderland                       2-1
Everton-Leicester                          1-1
Man U-Norwich                              1-0
Southampton-Tottenham            1-2
Stoke-Palace                                   1-1
West Brom-Cherrries                    2-1
Newcastle-Aston Villa                  2-1
Watford-Liverpool                        2-1
Swansea-West Ham                     1-2
Arsenal-Man City                           2-1

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 16)

This past round I picked four games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 70 points.  Lawrenson picked three out of ten correctly with one correct score for 60 points.  His celebrity guest picked three correctly with one correct score for 60 points.  Merson picked two out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 20 points. 

My current total for the season is 69 out of 150 with for 990 points.  Lawrenson has picked 72 out of 150 for 1200 points. Merson has picked 72 out of 149 for a total of 1050 points.
When Lawrenson and Merson make their new picks I might link them here and here.  I keep forgetting to do this.
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games.
Norwich-Everton             1-2
Palace-Southampton      2-1
Man City-Swansea          1-0
Sunderland-Watford      1-2
West Ham-Stoke             2-1
Cherries-Man U               0-1
Aston Villa-Arsenal          0-1
Liverpool-West Brom      2-1
Tottenham-Newcastle   1-0
Leicester-Chelsea            2-1

Thursday, December 3, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 15)

This past round I picked four games out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 40 points.  Lawrenson picked four out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 40 points.  His celebrity guest picked three correctly with no correct scores for 30 points.  Merson picked five out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 50 points. 

My current total for the season is 65 out of 140 with for 920 points.  Lawrenson has picked 69 out of 140 for 1140 points.   Merson has picked 70 out of 139 for a total of 1030 points.
When Lawrenson and Merson make their new picks I might link them here and here.  I keep forgetting to do this. 
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Stoke-Man City                               0-1
Arsenal-Sunderland                       1-0
Man U-West Ham                           2-1
Southampton-Aston Villa             2-1
Swansea-Leicester                         1-2
Watford-Norwich                           2-1
West Brom-Tottenham                 0-1
Chelsea-Cherries                            2-1
Newcastle-Liverpool                     1-2
Everton-Palace                               1-1

Monday, November 30, 2015

Manchester United Weekly Salaries (Update FM 2016 November database)

Football Manager 2016 has been released. I have listed the weekly salaries of all Manchester United players below making more than 3K per week.

This post is something of an experiment.  My February post of Southampton FC weekly salaries is my most frequently viewed post in more than a year and it still gets dozens of hits each week through Google searches.  I was curious as to whether a similar post about a more famous club would draw more page views or whether it was just some weird flukey thing. 
A post with some Manchester United salaries as of the FM 2015 February database can be found here. 
As I stated in my priors FM based salary lists, I have no idea how accurate these figures are and they do not take into account performance bonuses.  On the other hand, during the summer of 2014 when I was considering Financial Fair Play issues FM’s base salaries fairly closely corresponded to the information released by Southampton FC for the players’ salaries as a whole.  I have not undertaken the research necessary to determine if the same is true for Manchester United since I do not follow Manchester United except incidentally.
The salaries are in thousands of pounds per week.
PLAYER                              WEEKLY SALARY
Wayne Rooney                  235
David De Gea                     200
Juan Mata                          160
Memphis Depay               120
Ashley Young                    120
Ander Herrera                  115
Anthony Martial              110
Luke Shaw                        110
Marcos Rojo                    110
Morgan Schneiderlin     100
Michael Carrick               100
Marouane Fellaini            90
Antonio Valencia              85
Daley Blind                        75
Phil Jones                           75
Chris Smalling                   70
Victor Valdes                    70
Sergio Romero                 65
Adnan Januzaj                  60
Matteo Darmian              45
Paddy McNair                  22
Andreas Pereria              20
James Wilson                  20
Guillermo Vareia            15
Tyler Blackett                  15
Nick Powell                      12
Jesse Lingard                   10
Will Keane                        10
Sam Johnstone                  8
Sean Goss                           5
Joel Pereira                        5
Josh Harrop                       5
Joe Rothwell                      5
Ben Pearson                      5           
Everyone else is listed as making £5K or less a week so I will stop here.

Southampton Weekly Salaries (Update FM 2016 November database)

The most recent update of this post can be found here.

Football Manager 2016 has been released. I have listed the weekly salaries of Southampton players below.  There was only one change from the beta—Fonte’s salary is now listed at 47K per week.

As I stated in my priors FM based salary lists, I have no idea how accurate these figures are and they do not take into account performance bonuses.  On the other hand, during the summer of 2014 when I was considering Financial Fair Play issues FM’s base salaries fairly closely corresponded to the information released by the club for the players’ salaries as a whole.
I have left the two sets of numbers from last season in so it is easy to see the changes.  The salaries are in thousands of pounds per week.
PLAYER                                 CURRENT             FEB2015               NOVEMBER 2014
Ramirez                                55                           55                           55
Rodriguez                            55                           28                           28
Fonte                                    47                           34                           34
Mane                                    45                           45                           45
Van Dijk                               45                           20 (prior club)
Long                                     45                           50                           50
Bertrand                              43                           43                           35
Tadic                                    42                           42                           42
Juanmi                                40                           10.5 (prior club)                               
Cedric                                  40                           4.5 (prior club)                  
Clasie                                   40                           5.8 (prior club)                  
Forster                                40                           40                           40
Ward-Prose                       40                           40                           20
Caulker                               40                           40 (prior club)                   
Pelle                                    37                           37                           37
Romeu                                35                           30 (prior club)
Wanyama                           34                           34                           34
S. Davis                               34                           34                           34 
Gardos                                30                           30                           30
Stekelenburg                     28.5                        28.5 (prior club)                               
Yoshida                              28                           28                           22.5
Martina                             20                           not listed                            
Gazzaniga                         18                           14                           14
K. Davis                             16                           16                           16
Stephens                          12                           5                             
Isgrove                              12                           4.5                         
Gallagher                          10                           10                           10
Reed                                  10                           10                           10
Targett                              10                           2
Everyone else is listed as making £5K or less a week so this is where I stopped.
According to this FM 2016 Southampton’s total weekly pay has increased £53K since February 1, 2015.  However, that includes the £5K per week drop in Long’s pay which almost certainly did not happen.  Presumably, this means that the actual increase was £58K per week.

Thursday, November 26, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 14)

This past round I picked three games out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 30 points.  Lawrenson picked four out of ten correctly with no correct scores for 40 points.  His celebrity guest picked three correctly with no correct scores for 30 points.  Merson picked four out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 40 points. 

My current total for the season is 61 out of 140 with for 880 points.  Lawrenson has picked 65 out of 140 for 1100 points.  (The BBC website gives Lawrenson a different, and lower, score for the season.  I think I am right.   See here.)  Merson has picked 65 out of 129 for a total of 980 points.
When Lawrenson and Merson make their new picks I might link them here and here.  I keep forgetting to do this. 

PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Aston Villa-Watford          0-1
Cherries-Everton               1-2
Palace-Newcastle              1-0
Man City-Southampton   2-1
Sunderland-Stoke             0-1
Leicester-Man U               2-1
Tottenham-Chelsea         2-1
West Ham-West Brom    2-1
Liverpool-Swansea           2-1
Norwich-Arsenal              1-2

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 13)

This past round I picked four games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 70 points.  Lawrenson picked four out of ten correctly with three correct scores for 130 points.  His celebrity guest picked four correctly with two correct scores for 100 points.  Merson picked five out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 50 points. 

My current total for the season is 55 out of 120 with for 820 points.  Lawrenson has picked 57 out of 120 for 1020 points.  (The BBC website gives Lawrenson a different, and lower, score for the season.  I think I am right.   See here. )  Merson has picked 61 out of 119 for a total of 940 points.  (I did discover I had made a 10 point error in Merson's season score a few weeks ago.  This error is corrected now.)
When Lawrenson and Merson make their new picks I might link them here and here.  I keep forgetting to do this. 
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Watford-Man U                0-1
Chelsea-Norwich             1-1
Everton-Aston Villa         2-1
Newcastle-Leicester       1-2
Southampton-Stoke       1-0
Swansea-Cherries           2-1
West Brom-Arsenal        1-2
Man City-Liverpool         1-0
Tottenham-West Ham   2-1
Palace-Sunderland          2-1

 

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 12)

This past week I picked seven games out of ten correctly with one correct score for 100 points.  Lawrenson picked seven out of ten correctly with two correct scores for 130 points.  His celebrity guest picked five correctly for 80 points.  Merson picked six out of ten correctly with no correct scores for a total of 60 points.

My current total for the season is 51 out of 110 with for 750 points.  Lawrenson has picked 53 out of 110 for 890 points.  (However, the BBC website gives Lawrenson a different, and lower, score for the season.  I will figure out who is right next time.)  Merson has picked 56 out of109 for a total of 900 points.
When Lawrenson and Merson make their new picks I might link them here and here.  I keep forgetting to do this. 
PREDICTIONS
My system’s picking rules can be found here.  Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:
Cherries-Newcastle                         2-1
Leicester-Watford                           2-1
Man U-West Brom                          1-0
Norwich-Swansea                           1-1
Sunderland-Southampton            1-2
West Ham-Everton                        2-1
Stoke-Chelsea                                 2-1
Aston Villa-Man City                     0-1
Arsenal-Tottenham                      2-1
Liverpool-Palace                           2-1

Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Southampton Weekly Salaries (Update FM 2016 beta database)

A slightly updated version of this post can be found here.

The beta version of Football Manager 2016 has been released.  As always, I have taken the opportunity to shamelessly crib from their database for my blog.

Once again, I have listed the weekly salaries of Southampton players below.  I do not know whether these numbers will change in the official release.  If they do, I will publish an update.

As I stated in my priors FM based salary lists, I have no idea how accurate these figures are and they do not take into account performance bonuses.  On the other hand, during the summer of 2014 when I was considering Financial Fair Play issues FM’s base salaries when totaled fairly closely corresponded to the information released by the club for the total players’ salaries.
I have left the last two sets of numbers in so it is easy to see the changes.  The salaries are in thousands of pounds per week.
PLAYER                                 CURRENT             FEB2015               NOVEMBER 2014
Ramirez                                55                           55                           55
Rodriguez                            55                           28                           28
Mane                                    45                           45                           45
Van Dijk                               45                           20 (prior club)
Long                                      45                           50                           50
Bertrand                              43                           43                           35
Tadic                                    42                           42                           42
Juanmi                                 40                           10.5 (prior club)                               
Cedric                                  40                           4.5 (prior club)                  
Clasie                                   40                           5.8 (prior club)                  
Forster                                40                           40                           40
Ward-Prose                       40                           40                           20
Caulker                               40                           40 (prior club)                   
Pelle                                    37                           37                           37
Romeu                                35                           30 (prior club)
Wanyama                           34                           34                           34
S. Davis                               34                           34                           34 
Fonte                                  34                           34                           34
Gardos                               30                           30                           30
Stekelenburg                    28.5                        28.5 (prior club)                               
Yoshida                             28                           28                           22.
Martina                            20                           not listed                            
Gazzaniga                        18                           14                           14
K. Davis                            16                           16                           16
Stephens                         12                           5                             
Isgrove                             12                           4.5                         
Gallagher                         10                           10                           10
Reed                                 10                           10                           10
Targett                             10                           2
Everyone else is listed as making £4K or less a week so I will stop here.
According to this FM 2016 ,Southampton’s total weekly pay has increased £40K since February 1, 2015.  However, that includes the £5K per week drop in Long’s pay which almost certainly did not happen.  Presumably, the wizards at FM decided that they overstated his salary last year which would mean an actual increase of £45K per week.