Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 19)

In the last round, I picked 5 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct score for 50 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 8 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct scores for 140 points.  Paul Merson predicted 9 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct scores for 150 points.  This appeared to have been a relatively predictable week, but less so for me.

For the season I have picked 79 out of 180 correctly with 17 correct scores for 1360 points. Lawrenson picked 102 out of 190 correctly with 21 correct scores for 1760 points.  Merson has picked 105 out of 180 correctly with 20 correct scores for 1660 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Hull-Everton                              0-1

Burnley-Sunderland                 2-1

Chelsea-Stoke                           1-0

Leicester-West Ham                1-1

Man U-Middlesbrough            1-0

Southampton-West Brom       2-1

Swansea-Cherries                     1-2

Liverpool-Man City                   2-1

Watford-Tottenham                 1-1

Arsenal-Palace                           2-1

I apologize for any weird formatting issues.  I don't know what is causing them.

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 18)

In the last round, I picked 4 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct score for 40 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 4 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct scores for 70 points.  Paul Merson predicted 5 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct scores for 50 points.  This appeared to have been a relatively predictable wee.

For the season I have picked 74 out of 170 correctly with 17 correct scores for 1310 points. Lawrenson picked 94 out of 170 correctly with 19 correct scores for 1620 points.  Merson has picked 96 out of 170 correctly with 18 correct scores for 1510 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here. 

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Watford-Palace                               2-1

Arsenal-West Brom                        2-1

Burnley-Middlesbrough                1-1

Chelsea-Cherries                            1-0

Leicester-Everton                           1-1

Man U-Sunderland                         1-0

Swansea-West Ham                       1-1

Hull-Man City                                  0-1

Liverpool-Stoke                              2-1

Southampton-Tottenham            1-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 17)

In the last round, I picked 8 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct score for 140 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 6 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct scores for 120 points.  Paul Merson predicted 8 out of 10 correctly with 3 correct scores for 170 points.  This appeared to have been a relatively predictable week.

For the season I have picked 70 out of 160 correctly with 17 correct scores for 1270 points. Lawrenson picked 90 out of 160 correctly with 18 correct scores for 1550 points.  Merson has picked 91 out of 160 correctly with 18 correct scores for 1460 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here .

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Palace-Chelsea                            1-2
Middlesbrough-Swansea           2-1

Stoke-Leicester                            2-1

Sunderland-Watford                  1-2

West Ham-Hull                            2-1

West Brom-Man U                      1-1

Cherries-Southampton               1-1

Man City-Arsenal                         1-1

Tottenham-Burnley                     1-0

Everton-Liverpool                        1-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 16)

In the last round, I picked 4 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 70 points.   (I accidentally didn’t post my erroneous Manchester United-Tottenham pick which would have been 1-1.) Mark Lawrenson predicted 4 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct scores for 40 points.  Paul Merson predicted 4 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct scores for 40 points.

For the season I have picked 62 out of 150 correctly with 17 correct scores for 1130 points. Lawrenson picked 84 out of 150 correctly with 16 correct scores for 1430 points.  Merson has picked 83 out of 150 correctly with 15 correct scores for 1290 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions  might be found here and here but probably not given the tight schedule.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Cherries-Leicester                         2-1

Everton-Arsenal                            1-2

Middlesbrough-Liverpool            1-2

Sunderland-Chelsea                      0-1

West Ham-Burnley                        1-1

Palace-Man U                                 1-2

Man City-Watford                          2-1

Stoke-Southampton                       1-1

Tottenham-Hull                              1-0

West Brom-Swansea                     2-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 15)

In the last round, I picked 5 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct scores for 110 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 7 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct scores for 130 points.  Paul Merson predicted 7 out of 10 correctly with 4 correct scores for 190 points.

For the season I have picked 58 out of 140 correctly with 16 correct scores for 1060 points. Lawrenson picked 80 out of 140 correctly with 16 correct scores for 1390 points.  Merson has picked 79 out of 140 correctly with 15 correct scores for 1250 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Watford-Everton                           1-1

Arsenal-Stoke                                 2-1

Burnley-Cherries                            1-1

Hull-Palace                                      1-1

Swansea-Sunderland                    1-1

Leicester-Man City                        1-2

Chelsea-Tottenham                      2-1

Southampton-Middlesbrough    1-0

Liverpool-West Ham                     2-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 14)

In the last round, I picked 4 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 70 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 5 out of 10 correctly with 2 correct scores for 110 points.  Paul Merson predicted 7 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 100 points.

For the season I have picked 53 out of 130 correctly with 14 correct scores for 950 points. Lawrenson picked 73 out of 130 correctly with 14 correct scores for 1260 points.  Merson has picked 72 out of 130 correctly with 11 correct scores for 1060 points. 

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here (maybe) and here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Man City-Chelsea            1-1

Palace-Southampton      1-2

Stoke-Burnley                  2-1

Sunderland-Leicester     1-1

Tottenham-Swansea      1-0

West Brom-Watford      1-1

West Ham-Arsenal         1-2

Cherries-Liverpool          1-2

Everton-Man U               1-1

Middlesbrough-Hull       1-0

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 13)

So my system finally had a good week.

In the last round, I picked 5 out of 10 correctly with 4 correct scores for 170 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 6 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 100 points.  Paul Merson predicted 6 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 100 points.

For the season I have picked 49 out of 120 correctly with 13 correct scores for 880 points. Lawrenson picked 68 out of 120 correctly with 12 correct scores for 1050 points.  Merson has picked 65 out of 100 correctly with 10 correct scores for 960 points. 

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here .

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Burnley-Man City                          0-1

Hull-West Brom                             1-2

Leicester-Middlesbrough             2-1

Liverpool-Sunderland                   2-1

Swansea-Palace                             1-1

Chelsea-Tottenham                      2-1

Watford-Stoke                               2-1

Arsenal-Cherries                            2-1

Man U-West Ham                          2-1

Southampton-Everton                  1-1

Southampton Weekly Salaries (Update initial FM 2017 database)

Football Manager 2017 has been released. I have listed the weekly salaries of Southampton players below.

As I stated in my prior FM based salary lists, I have no idea how accurate these figures are and they do not take into account performance bonuses.  On the other hand, during the summer of 2014 when I was considering Financial Fair Play issues, FM’s base salaries fairly closely corresponded to the information released by the club for the players’ salaries as a whole.

I have left the last three sets of numbers in so it is easy to see the changes.  The salaries are in thousands of pounds per week.

PLAYER                               CURRENT           APR 2016           NOV 2015          FEB 2015

Van Dijk                               65                           45                           45                           20

                                                                                                                           (prior club)

Boufal                                   60                           prior club not listed

Long                                      60                           45                           45                           50

Tadic                                      60                           42                           42                           42

Austin                                   55                           55                           20 (prior club)

Bertrand                              55                           43                           43                           43

Cedric                                   55                           40                           40                           4.5

                                                                                                                              (prior club)

Davis                                     55                           34                           34                           34

Forster                                 55                           40                           40                           40

Redmond                            55                           25 (prior club)   

Rodriguez                            55                           55                           55                           28

Hojbjerg                              50                           27.5 (prior club)

Fonte                                    47                           47                           47                           34

Clasie                                    40                           40                           40                           5.8

                                                                                                                              (prior club)

McCarthy                            40                           34 (prior club)   

Romeu                                 35                           35                           35                           30

                                                                                                                            (prior club)

Ward-Prose                        35                           40                           40                           40

Gardos                                 30                           30                           30                           30

Yoshida                                28                           28                           28                           28

Martina                               20                           20                           20               not listed

Gazzaniga                            18                           18                           18                           14

Stephens                             12                           12                           12                             5

Isgrove                                 12                          12                           12                             4.5

Gallagher                             12                           10                           10                           10

Reed                                     12                           10                           10                           10

Targett                                 10                           10                           10                           2

Everyone else is listed as making £5K a week or less so I will stop here.

The weekly total is £1,031,000 or £53.6 million a year. Last year the weekly total was £951,500 or £49.5 million a year.  That surprised me.  I thought the total salary would go up more than that but we did lose £224.5 K a week from the player who left, but the £2,000 per week reduction in Ward-Prose’s salary which I assume is not real, but just a case of FM reassessing their sources or guesses.

On the surface, it looks as if Targett and McQueen should get improved contracts. For that matter, Martina might deserve one as well.

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 12)

In the last round, I picked 3 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 60 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 4 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 70 points.  Paul Merson predicted 5 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 80 points.

For the season I have picked 44 out of 110 correctly with 9 correct scores for 710 points. Lawrenson picked 62 out of 100 correctly with 11 correct scores for 950 points.  Merson has picked 549out of 100 correctly with 9 correct scores for 860 points. 

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and (maybe)here.  

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Man U=Arsenal                 1-1

Palace-Man City                1-2

Everton-Swansea              2-1

Southampton-Liverpool  1-2

Stoke-Cherries                  1-1

Sunderland-Hull                1-1

Watford-Leicester             2-1

Tottenham=West Ham    1-0

Middlesbrough-Chelsea   0-1

West Brom-Burnley          1-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 11)

In the last round, I picked 6 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct scores for 60 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 7 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 100 points.  Paul Merson predicted 5 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct scores for 80 points.

For the season I have picked 41 out of 100 correctly with 8 correct scores for 650 points. Lawrenson picked 58 out of 100 correctly with 10 correct scores for 880 points.  Merson has picked 54 out of 100 correctly with 8 correct scores for 780 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here (maybe) and here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Cherries-Sunderland                      2-1

Burnley-Palace                                1-1

Man City-Middlesbrough              1-0

West Ham-Stoke                             1-1

Chelsea-Everton                              2-1

Arsenal-Tottenham                        2-1

Hull-Southampton                          0-1

Liverpool-Watford                          1-1

Swansea-Man U                              1-2

Leicester-West Brom                     2-1         

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 10)

In the last round, I picked 3 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct scores for 60 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 6 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 90 points.  Paul Merson predicted 5 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct scores for 50 points.

For the season I have picked 35 out of 90 correctly with 8 correct scores for 590 points. Lawrenson picked 51 out of 90 correctly with 9 correct scores for 840 points.  Merson has picked 49 out of 90 correctly with 7 correct scores for 710 points.

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Sunderland-Arsenal                 0-1

Man U-Burnley                         2-1

Middlesbrough-Cherries         1-2

Tottenham-Leicester               1-0

Watford-Hull                             2-1

West Brom-Man City               1-2

Palace-Liverpool                       1-2

Everton-West Ham                  1-0

Southampton-Chelsea            1-1

Stoke-Swansea                         2-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 9)

It is beginning to look like my system’s relative success two years ago was a fluke because I continue to lose group on the experts each week.

In the last round, I picked 5 out of 10 correctly with 0 correct scores for 50 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 6 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct score for 90 points.  Paul Merson predicted 5 out of 10 correctly with 1 correct scores for 90 points.

For the season I have picked 32 out of 80 correctly with 7 correct scores for 530 points. Lawrenson picked 45 out of 80 correctly with 8 correct scores for 750 points.  Merson has picked 44 out of 80 correctly with 7 correct scores for 660 points. 

Merson’s and Lawrenson’s new predictions can be found here and here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Cherries-Tottenham        0-1

Arsenal-Middlesbrough  1-0

Burnley-Everton               0-1

Hull-Stoke                          1-0

Leicester-Palace               1-1

Swansea-Watford            1-2

West Ham-Sunderland    2-1

Liverpool-West Brom      2-1

Man City-Southampton   2-1

Chelsea-Man U                 2-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 8)

I had to rush out my last predictions so I didn’t tabulate the results for round 6 so I will tabulate the last two rounds now.

In the last two rounds, I picked 7 out of 20 correctly with 3 correct scores for 160 points.   Mark Lawrenson predicted 11 out of 20 correctly with 5 correct scores for 260 points.  Paul Merson predicted 11 out of 20 correctly with 2 correct scores for 170 points.

For the season I have picked 27 out of 70 correctly with 7 correct scores for 480 points. Lawrenson picked 39 out of 70 correctly with 7 correct scores for 660 points.  Merson has picked 39 out of 70 correctly with 6 correct scores for 570 points. 

Merson’s new predictions can be found here.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Chelsea-Leicester                          2-1

Arsenal-Swansea                            1-0

Cherries-Hull                                   2-1

Man City-Everton                           2-1

Stoke-Sunderland                          2-1

West Brom-Tottenham                 0-1

Palace-West Ham                          2-1

Middlesbrough-Watford              1-1

Southampton-Burnley                   1-0

Liverpool-Man U                              2-1

Predictions 2016-2017 (Round 7)

I got busy this week and forgot to post my predictions and the first game has just started.  So I will post my predictions now and sort out the running totals after the weekend.

Based upon my rules found here, these are my predictions for the next round of games:

Everton-Palace                                 2-1

Swansea-Liverpool                          2-1

Hull-Chelsea                                     1-1

Sunderland-West Brom                 0-1

Watford-Cherries                            2-1

West Ham-Middlesbrough           1-1

Man U-Stoke                                   1-0

Leicester-Southampton                1-1

Tottenham-Man City                    1-1

Burnley-Arsenal                             0-1