Predictions 2015-2016 (Round 31) With Magic Numbers and Relegation Stuff

This past two rounds I picked seven games out of 15 correctly with one correct scores for 100 points.  Lawrenson picked seven out of 15 correctly with one correct scores for 100 points.   Merson picked six out of 15 correctly with two correct scores for a total of 120 points. 

My current total for the season is 130 out of 293 with for 1900 points.  Lawrenson has picked 144 out of 293 for 2140 points. Merson has picked 131 out of 289 for a total of 1920 points

Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions can be found here and here.are not linked this week because I am running late and want to watch another episode of Daredevil before I go to bed. 

PREDICTIONS

My system’s picking rules can be found here.  I had to make adjustments for unequal numbers of games played by using a table calculated by points per game rather than by current position on the table.   The only effect of this was to cause the Southampton-Liverpool game to be picked as draw rather than a Southampton victory. Based upon those rules here are my predictions for the next round of games:

Everton-Arsenal                1-2

Chelsea-West Ham          1-1

Palace-Leicester                1-2

Watford-Stoke                  1-1

West Brom-Norwich        2-1

Swansea-Aston Villa         2-1

Newcastle-Sunderland     1-1

Southampton-Liverpool    1-1

Man City-Man U                2-1

Tottenham-Cherries          2-1

RELEGATION AVOIDANCE

It now takes 50 points to guarantee relegation avoidance.

MAGIC NUMBERS

These are Southampton’s current magic numbers as explained here. (Note that magic numbers don’t actually go negative because once they hit zero, you have clinched finishing ahead of the other club.  I am just making them go negative to keep track of just how far back some clubs are.)

Leicester City                     44

Tottenham                         40

Arsenal                               37

Manchester City               35

Manchester United          31

West Ham                           33

Liverpool                             31

Watford                               21

Stoke City                            24

Everton                               25

Chelsea                               24

Crystal Palace                    17

West Brom                         23

Bournemouth                   19

Swansea City                     14

Norwich City                       6

Newcastle                             8

Sunderland                           9

Aston Villa                           -3

So we have clinched 19^th place.  Leicester, the other hand, has clinched 14^th place.