Wednesday, March 25, 2015

I Make Predictions (End of the Season Guesses)

Since there are two weeks between games I decided to fill the time by using my prediction system to predict the final table.  I worked with the current table and determined the results my system would predict for each of the remaining games.  I did not bother to distinguish between 1-0 and 2-1 games and just plugged all of the results in as 2-1 except for the results for next round which I had already calculated normally.

Because my system assumes that the current table is an accurate reflection of the relative qualities of the various clubs, I did not expect it to predict major changes and it did not.  Any changes in table position ended up being due to clubs facing a more or less difficult schedule.  I have included a link to the web site I used here.
Here is my predicted final table:
Pos
Team
Pld
GD
Pts
1
Chelsea
38
44
92
2
Man City
38
40
81
3
Arsenal
38
33
80
4
Man Utd
38
29
76
5
Southampton
38
26
72
6
Liverpool
38
15
70
7
Tottenham
38
7
66
8
West Ham
38
8
61
9
Swansea
38
-2
57
10
Stoke
38
-4
51
11
Newcastle
38
-13
48
12
Everton
38
-5
44
13
C Palace
38
-7
44
14
West Brom
38
-16
39
15
Aston Villa
38
-24
34
16
Hull
38
-18
31
17
Sunderland
38
-25
31
18
Burnley
38
-29
28
19
QPR
38
-30
23
20
Leicester
38
-29
20

Finally, I just wanted to quote JRM from the SaintsWeb forum who said “I've never been quoted in a blog before.”

 

 

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