Wednesday, March 11, 2015

I Make Predictions (Round 29)

Mark Lawrenson and his celebrity guest got the Tottenham-QPR game right.  Merson did not make a prediction. I got the score right for three points.

Since I started seventeen rounds ago I have predicted 90 out of 169 games correctly for 135 points.  Lawrenson predicted 86 games correctly for 112 points. Merson predicted 82 games out of 165 correctly for 112 points.
I will link to Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions when they are published.  They will be found here and here.
Here are my predictions using the same rules outlined here.    I would use my modifications for clubs that have played a different number of games but only the first and last place clubs are involved so nothing changes.
Palace-QPR                                        2-1
Arsenal-West Ham                          2-1
Liecester-Hull                                   1-1
Sunderland-Aston Villa                  1-0
West Brom-Stoke                            1-1
Burnley-Man City                            0-1
Chelsea-Southampton                   2-1
Everton-Newcastle                        1-1
Man U-Tottenham                         2-1
Swansea-Liverpool                         1-1
MAGIC NUMBERS
Here are our magic numbers for the entire League as explained here:
I have left the clubs in the same order from when I first posted this list because I find it more interesting that way.
Chelsea              48
Man City           40
Man U                35
Arsenal               36
Tottenham         32
Liverpool             33
West Ham           21
Swansea              22
Stoke                    24
Newcastle           17
Everton               10
Palace                  12
Sunderland         8
West Brom         12
Aston Villa           7
Burnley                 4
Hull                        9
QPR                       4
Leicester              3
The points total mathematically needed to avoid relegation remains at 53, but it is virtually certain to drop again this weekend—possibly by a lot.  For example, if Burnley and QPR both lose, it will drop at least to 50.
If we win and Burnley and QPR draw, we have officially avoided relegation.  Same if we draw and they both lose.

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