I Make Predictions (Round 28)

Last round Mark Lawrenson got three games right for seven points.  His celebrity guest got five games right for five points.  Merson got five games right for seven points.  I got five games right for five points.

Since I started sixteen rounds ago I have predicted 81 out of 158 games correctly for 118 points.  Lawrenson predicted 78 games correctly for 102 points. Merson predicted 76 games correctly for 106 points. 

I will link to Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions when they are published.  They will be found here and here.  Apparently, Merson did not pick Tuesday's games which will be a pain to keep track of.

Here are my predictions using the same rules outlined here.

Aston Villa-West Brom   1-1

Hull-Sunderland               2-1

Southampton-Palace      1-0

Man City-Leicester          1-0

Newcastle-Man U           1-2

QPR-Arsenal                      1-2

Stoke-Everton                   2-1

Tottenham-Swansea      2-1

West Ham-Chelsea         0-1

Liverpool-Burnley            2-1

Because some teams have played fewer games, I will use a table calculated by points per game rather than by current position on the table.  However, this chances nothing this round.  Tottenham, for example, are two points behind us but they have not earned an average of two points a game so we are still in sixth place.

MAGIC NUMBERS

Here are our magic numbers for the entire League as explained here:

I have left the clubs in the same order so we can see where the big changes occur—not that any big changes occurred this weekend.  Big changes only occur when we win.  Although the absence of big changes is a big change in and of itself—and not a good one for us.

Chelsea                   51

Man City                43

Man U                    38

Arsenal                  39

Tottenham            35

Liverpool               36

West Ham             27

Swansea                28

Stoke                     27

Newcastle             23

Everton                  16

Palace                    18

Sunderland           13

West Brom           18

Aston Villa            10

Burnley                 10

Hull                        15

QPR                       13

Leicester                9

The points total mathematically needed to avoid relegation dropped to 55.  It will drop again this round unless Burnley beats Liverpool, Palace beats Southampton, QPR beats Arsenal, Everton beats Stoke, and Hull and Sunderland draw.