I Make Predictions (Round 30)

Last round Mark Lawrenson got six games right for six points.  His celebrity guest got six games right for ten points.  Merson got four games right for eight points.  I got four games right for four points.
 

Since I started making these predictions I have predicted 94 out of 179 games correctly for 139 points.  Lawrenson predicted 92 games correctly for 118 points. Merson predicted 86 games out of 175 correctly for 120 points. 

I will link to Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions when they are published.  They will be found here and here.

Here are my predictions using the same rules outlined here.    Once again, my modifications for clubs that have played a different number of games do not matter because only the first and last place clubs are.

Man City-West Brom                      1-0

Aston Villa-Swansea                        0-1

Newcastle-Arsenal                          1-2

Southampton-Burnley                    1-0

Stoke-Palace                                     2-1

Tottenham-Leicester                       2-1

West Ham-Sunderland                    2-1

Liverpool-Man U                              1-1

Hull-Chelsea                                      0-1

QPR-Everton                                     1-1

I think my system overrates QPR and underrates Everton, but what can you do.  There are an unusually high number of 1-0 games predicted this week.  Under my system, this is a natural result of good defensive clubs playing poor offensive clubs.  It will be interesting to see if any of these low scoring game predictions pay off.

MAGIC NUMBERS

Here are our magic numbers for the entire League as explained here:

I have left the clubs in the same order from when I first posted this list because I find it more interesting that way.

Chelsea                45

Man City              36

Man U                  34

Arsenal                 35

Tottenham          28

Liverpool              32

West Ham           17

Swansea              19

Stoke                    20

Newcastle           13

Everton                  9

Palace                   11

Sunderland           4

West Brom          11

Aston Villa             6

Burnley                  3

Hull                        6

QPR                       0

Leicester               0

The points total mathematically needed to avoid relegation dropped to 51.  Since we play Burnley next we will officially avoid relegation unless they beat us.  It is possible that we will clinch 14^th place this weekend—it would require us to win and Hull and Aston Villa to lose and Sunderland to draw.