Sunday, November 9, 2014

Twelve Games, Twenty-??? Points: What does it mean? (Part 3)

Okay.  I just can’t control myself so here is the point total summary for Premier League teams after twelve games in a 20 team league.  I only looked at teams with 21 or more points.  Here is what I got:

21 Points:  13 teams        Range:  3-13       Average finish:  6.62
22 Points:  18 teams        Range:  1-13       Average finish:  6.11
23 Points:  13 teams        Range: 2-8           Average finish:  4.85
24 Points:  13 teams        Range: 1-9           Average finish:  3.15
25 Points:  9 teams          Range  1-10         Average finish:  4.11
26 Points:  5 teams          Range: 1-4           Average finish:  2.40
27 Points:  6 teams          Range:  1-2          Average finish:  1.50
28 Points:  7 teams          Range:  2-6          Average finish:  3.29
29 Points:  5 teams          Range: 1-3           Average finish:  2.00
30 Points:  4 teams          Range: 1-5           Average finish:  2.50
31 Points: 3 teams           Range: 1-2           Average finish:  1.33
32 Points:  No teams
33 Points:  No teams
34 Points:  1 team            Range: 1               Average finish:  1.00
Two teams eventually finished first with less than 21 points in 12 games:  Manchester United (19 points) in 1996-1997 and Arsenal (20 points) in 2001-2002.  Maybe I should have left the cut off at 19 games, but I am not going back and doing it all again.
If Chelsea wins its next game the league championship seems virtually over--and they ought to be able to beat West Brom at home. 
Once again, we cannot reach the cut off line which appears to all but guarantee a great season which is 29 points in 12 games.  Only one team has failed to finish in what would now be a Champions League slot after getting 29 or more points.
Although, six place is pretty good which would put the cut off line at 26 points which would mean we only need a draw against Aston Villa.
I do not have any more insightful analysis so the numbers will just have to speak for themselves.  I will try to resist doing thirteen games for a couple of weeks.

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