Monday, April 27, 2015

I Make Predictions (midweek)

Last round Mark Lawrenson got two games right for four points.  His celebrity guest got six games right for eight points.  Merson got three games right for five points.  I got three games right for three points.

Since I started making these predictions I have predicted 117 out of 227 games correctly for 170 points.  Lawrenson predicted 114 games out of 226 correctly for 156 points. Merson predicted 111 games out of 222 correctly for 157 points.

I will link to Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions when they are published. However, I don’t know if they will predict the two mid-week games.  If they do, I will link to them here and here.
Here are my predictions using the same rules outlined here.    Once again, my modifications for clubs that have played a different number of games do not matter.  However, the results of these games could change my weekend predictions so I have published them separately.
Hull-Liverpool                   1-2
Leicester-Chelsea            0-1
MAGIC NUMBERS
Here are our magic numbers for the entire League as explained here:
I have left the clubs in the same order as when I first posted this list because I find it more interesting that way.
Strictly speaking magic numbers do not go negative—when the number reaches zero you have clinched finishing ahead of that team—that is why the number is magic.  Nevertheless, I am going to continue calculating negative magic numbers because that information is useful to me in comparing the various clubs.  Anyone who is bothered by this can just treat all negative numbers as zero.
Chelsea                38 (we can no longer catch them)
Man City              23
Man U                  21
Arsenal                 26
Tottenham           14
Liverpool              17
West Ham             0
Swansea                6
Stoke                      3
Newcastle            -9
Everton                    0
Palace                     -2
Sunderland           -11
West Brom             -7
Aston Villa            -10
Burnley                 -18
Hull                        -10
QPR                       -17
Leicester              -10
The points total mathematically needed to avoid relegation is now 44.  It will drop to 43 if Chelsea beat Leicester.  This week Everton and West Ham reached safety. 
We have clinched 9th place.   If everything goes right this weekend, we could clinch 7th place.  We cannot clinch anything watching the mid-week games, however.

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