I Make Predictions (Round 35)

I picked one of the two midweek games correctly for one point.  Lawrenson and Merson did not pick the midweek games as far as I can determine.  This isn’t really fair since neither of them would have gotten the Liverpool-Hull game right either, but it doesn’t count against them.

Since I started making these predictions I have predicted 118 out of 229 games correctly for 171 points.  Lawrenson predicted 114 games out of 226 correctly for 156 points. Merson predicted 111 games out of 222 correctly for 157 points.

I will link to Lawrenson’s and Merson’s new predictions when they are published. There will be found here and here.

Here are my predictions using the same rules outlined here.    Once again, my modifications for clubs that have played a different number of games do not matter.

Leicester-Newcastle                       1-1

Aston Villa-Everton                         1-1

Liverpool-QPR                                  2-1

Sunderland-Southampton             0-1

Swansea-Stoke                                 2-1

West Ham-Burnley                          1-0

Man U-West Brom                          1-0

Chelsea-Palace                                 2-1

Tottenham-Man City                      1-1

Hull-Arsenal                                      0-1

MAGIC NUMBERS

Here are our magic numbers for the entire League as explained here:

I have left the clubs in the same order as when I first posted this list because I find it more interesting that way.

Strictly speaking magic numbers do not go negative—when the number reaches zero you have clinched finishing ahead of that team—that is why the number is magic.  Nevertheless, I am going to continue calculating negative magic numbers because that information is useful to me in comparing the various clubs.  Anyone who is bothered by this can just treat all negative numbers as zero.

Chelsea               38 (we can no longer catch them)

Man City             23

Man U                 21

Arsenal                26

Tottenham          14

Liverpool             14

West Ham             0

Swansea                6

Stoke                      3

Newcastle            -9

Everton                   0

Palace                    -2

Sunderland          -11

West Brom             -7

Aston Villa            -10

Burnley                 -18

Hull                        -10

QPR                       -17

Leicester              -13

The points total mathematically needed to avoid relegation is now 43.  If Leicester loses or we beat Sunderland it will drop to 41. If both happen it drops to 40.

We have clinched 9^th place.   If everything goes right this weekend, we could clinch 7^th place.